2026 NFL Draft No. 1 pick tracker: Where the Jets and Giants stand

The Giants and Jets being in NFL draft conversations in December has become as much of a holiday tradition as the lighting of the Rockefeller Center tree.

Big Blue and Gang Green are again among the NFL’s worst teams, and both have a chance to make the first pick in the upcoming 2026 NFL Draft.

The Giants (2-12) own the tiebreaker over the Raiders (2-12) for that honor entering Week 16, while the Jets (3-11) are slotted for pick No. 5.

The Week 17 clash between the Giants and the Raiders in Sin City could go a long way toward determining which team will potentially be on the clock first.

Here’s a look at the latest odds, plus the team’s chances to have the top pick and settle in the top five.

2026 NFL Draft No. 1 pick odds

Pick	Team	Record	Strength of schedule	FPI Odds for No. 1 pick	Odds for top-five picks	Projected pick
1	Giants	2-12	.536	10.6	55.8	No. 4
2	Raiders	2-12	.548	37. 4	89.1	No. 1
3	Titans	2-12	.576	24.1	87.2	No. 2
4	Browns	3-11	.485	14.1	78.6	No. 3
5	Jets	3-11	.536	5.7	58.2	No. 5
6	Cardinals	3-11	.571	x	44.7	No. 6
7	Saints	4-10	.492	x	37.4	No. 7
8	Commanders	4-10	.506	x	44.7	No. 8
9	Bengals	4-10	.523	x	2.3	No. 10

Strength of schedule courtesy of Tankathon
Football Power Index (FPI) percentages for picks courtesy of ESPN

New York Giants schedule

Week 16: vs. Vikings (6-8)
Week 17: at Raiders (2-12)
Week 18: vs. Cowboys (6-7-1)

The Giants are home underdogs to the Vikings in Week 16, and the road game in Week 17 against Las Vegas will play a huge role in which team has the upper hand to grab the No. 1 pick

Las Vegas Raiders schedule

Week 16: at Texans (9-5)
Week 17: vs. Giants (2-12)
Week 18: vs. Chiefs (6-8)

Las Vegas is a huge underdog in Week 16 before hosting the Giants, and that Week 18 game suddenly has interesting draft implications with Patrick Mahomes’ season over and the Chiefs eliminated.

Cleveland Browns schedule

Week 16: vs. Bills (10-4)
Week 17: vs. Steelers (8-6)
Week 18: at Bengals (4-10)

The Browns figure to be underdogs in all three of these games, although neither Ohio team will have much to play for in Week 18.

Tennessee Titans schedule

Week 16: vs. Chiefs (6-8)
Week 17: vs. Saints (4-10)
Week 18: at Jaguars (10-4)

The Titans are small underdogs against Gardner Minshew and the Chiefs in Week 16, and then face another potential team picking in the top 10 in the Saints, which will have draft ramifications.

New York Jets schedule

Week 16: at Saints (4-10)
Week 17: vs. Patriots (11-3)
Week 18: at Bills (10-4)

The Jets will be underdogs in all these games, especially since Weeks 17 and 18 figure to have playoff implications for the Patriots and Bills.

Arizona Cardinals schedule

Week 16: vs. Falcons (5-9)
Week 17: at Bengals (4-10)
Week 18: at Rams (11-3)

The Cardinals have two winnable games against the Falcons and Bengals on tap, but they’ve lost 11 of 12 and six straight. They’re already thinking about the 2026 team.

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New Orleans Saints schedule

Week 16: vs. Jets (3-11)
Week 17: at Titans (2-12)
Week 18: at Falcons (5-9)

The Saints are suddenly hot under rookie quarterback Tyler Shough, and they have three winnable games to close out the season that could potentially move them out of the top 10.

Washington Commanders schedule

Week 16: vs. Eagles (9-5)
Week 17: vs. Cowboys (6-7-1)
Week 18: at Eagles (9-5)

The Eagles have something to play for at least in Week 16 and potentially Week 18, and Washington has already shut down quarterback Jayden Daniels for the season.

Cincinnati Bengals schedule

Week 16: at Dolphins (6-8)
Week 17: vs. Cardinals (3-11)
Week 18: vs. Browns (3-11)

The Bengals could not save their season with Joe Burrow under center, and it’s fair to wonder just how motivated this team will be over the next three weeks.