Head-to-Head and Prediction for Chengdu Open 2025

Lorenzo Musetti carried the momentum from his US Open quarterfinal run into the Asian Swing, powering his way to the final of the 2025 Chengdu Open. The top-seeded Italian stamped his authority on the tournament, sweeping past Dino Prižmić and Nikoloz Basilashvili before dispatching Alexander Shevchenko in straight sets to reach his second final of the season.

Alejandro Tabilo, meanwhile, endured a relatively challenging road at the ATP 250 event, starting from the qualifying rounds. The Chilean overcame China’s Te Rigele and Lloyd Harris to book his spot in the main draw, where he stunned Jordan Thompson, second seed Luciano Darderi and Christopher O’Connell before toppling fourth seed Brandon Nakashima to earn his place in the final.

Lorenzo Musetti vs. Alejandro Tabilo Match Details

Date: Sept. 23, 2025

Tournament: Chengdu Open

Round: Final

Venue: Sichuan International Tennis Center, Chengdu, China

Category: ATP 250

Surface: Hard

Live telecast: Tennis Channel, TSN+, Sky Sports

Musetti vs Tabilo Head-to-Head

This high-profile clash heightens the stakes because Musetti and Tabilo have never met on the ATP Tour, with the Chengdu final marking their first-ever showdown. Both players enter the contest with confidence after standout performances in their previous tournaments, promising a compelling battle.

Imperious. 💼

Lorenzo Musetti cruises into a second consecutive #ChengduOpen final after beating Alexander Shevchenko 6-3 6-1🔥 pic.twitter.com/OASi2V5ylp

— Tennis TV (@TennisTV) September 22, 2025

Tabilo comes into Chengdu on the back of a runner-up finish at the Guangzhou Huangpu International Challenger, while Musetti’s last outing was at Flushing Meadows, where he advanced to the quarterfinals.

Musetti vs Tabilo Prediction

World No. 9 Musetti steps into the Chengdu final with a commanding 30–13 season record, determined to capture his first title. Musetti dominates behind his serve, taking 79% of his service games and converting 64% of his total service points this season.

Tabilo has seen a steep drop in the rankings this season. The Chilean began 2025 at world No. 23 but now sits at No. 112, with an 11–13 record highlighting his inconsistent form. Yet, he has found momentum in Chengdu, reaching the final. The 28-year-old relies heavily on his serve, winning 79% of service games and 63% of service points.

Interestingly, Tabilo holds a slight edge in overall hard-court win percentage, boasting nearly 59% compared to Musetti’s 57.25%, hinting at a potentially tough challenge for the Italian. Yet, Musetti enters with the advantage of experience, playing his second consecutive final in Chengdu and fully attuned to the conditions.

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Musetti’s advantage is further reinforced by Tabilo’s struggles against top-10 opponents this season, with just one win against three losses. Considering seedings, current form, and experience, the Italian holds a clear edge going into the contest.

Pick: Musetti in three sets.